Etsy Inc Stock Performance
| ETSY Stock | USD 53.08 1.32 2.43% |
Etsy has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.36, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Etsy will likely underperform. Etsy Inc right now shows a risk of 3.3%. Please confirm Etsy Inc jensen alpha, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the Potential Upside and rate of daily change , to decide if Etsy Inc will be following its price patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Etsy Inc are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Etsy is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 3.88 | Five Day Return 12.03 | Year To Date Return (5.03) | Ten Year Return 588.61 | All Time Return 81.33 |
1 | Disposition of 1635 shares by Merilee Buckley of Etsy at 59.31 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/05/2026 |
2 | Etsy Valuation Check As Shares Rebound Over The Past Month | 01/20/2026 |
3 | Institutional Interest Rises As Depop Growth Refocuses Etsy Valuation Story | 02/03/2026 |
4 | 1 of Wall Streets Favorite Stock for Long-Term Investors and 2 We Turn Down | 02/09/2026 |
5 | Analysts Estimate Etsy to Report a Decline in Earnings What to Look Out for | 02/12/2026 |
6 | BofA Lowers its Price Target on Etsy, Inc. to 63 and Maintains a Neutral Rating | 02/17/2026 |
7 | eBay Tops Q4 Earnings, Agrees To Acquire Depop, Shares Spring Higher | 02/18/2026 |
8 | Etsy Stock Breaks Above Its 20-Day Moving Average on Depop Sale. Does That Make ETSY a Buy Here | 02/19/2026 |
9 | Stifel Nicolaus Issues Pessimistic Forecast for Etsy Stock Price | 02/20/2026 |
10 | Disposition of 979 shares by Brad Minor of Etsy at 62.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/23/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 811.2 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 32.1 M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 678 M |
Etsy Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 5,422 in Etsy Inc on November 27, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 18.00 from holding Etsy Inc or generate 0.33% return on investment over 90 days. Etsy Inc is currently generating 0.0597% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.3049% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 29% of stocks are less volatile than Etsy, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Etsy Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Etsy Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 53.08 | 90 days | 53.08 | about 68.32 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Etsy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 68.32 (This Etsy Inc probability density function shows the probability of Etsy Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Etsy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Etsy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Etsy Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Etsy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Etsy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Etsy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Etsy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Etsy Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Etsy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Etsy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Etsy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Etsy Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Etsy Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Etsy Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Disposition of 979 shares by Brad Minor of Etsy at 62.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Etsy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Etsy Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Etsy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Etsy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 123.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
Etsy Fundamentals Growth
Etsy Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Etsy, and Etsy fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Etsy Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -12.24 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0877 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.15 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 8.85 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 98.71 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 44.71 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 21.42 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.80 X | ||||
| Revenue | 2.88 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 2.07 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 438.41 M | ||||
| Net Income | 330.35 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.01 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 7.95 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 742.49 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 4.11 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 2.93 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (11.32) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 693.41 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.48 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 5.19 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 2.83 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (2.4 B) | ||||
| Working Capital | 662.58 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 359.05 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 80.12 M | ||||
About Etsy Performance
Evaluating Etsy's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Etsy has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Etsy has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.07 | 0.07 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.18 | 0.19 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.06 | 0.06 | |
| Return On Equity | (0.15) | (0.14) |
Things to note about Etsy Inc performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Etsy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Etsy Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Etsy Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Etsy Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Disposition of 979 shares by Brad Minor of Etsy at 62.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
- Analyzing Etsy's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Etsy's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Etsy's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Etsy's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Etsy's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Etsy's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Etsy's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Etsy Stock Analysis
When running Etsy's price analysis, check to measure Etsy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Etsy is operating at the current time. Most of Etsy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Etsy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Etsy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Etsy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.